Global Tectonics and Earthquake Risk

PrefacePart I. Global Tectonics Chapter 1. Continuity and Change Synopsis Evidence of Change Geologic Continuity Chapter 2. Geologic History History of Pangaea Geochronology Dating of Rocks in the Field Tectonic Revolutions The Breakup of Pangaea Chapter 3. Earthquakes Introduction Earthquake Parameters Seismic Waves Mechanism at the Source Elasticity and Anelasticity Equivalent Viscosity of the Mantle Aftershocks Earthquakes and Explosions Chapter 4. Plate Tectonics Introduction The Plate Concept Geometry of Sea-Floor Spreading Tectonics of Sea-Floor Spreading Stresses in Lithospheric Plates Transcursion in California Viscoelastic Rebound as an Earthquake Mechanism Subduction Accretion The Elsasser Model The South American West CoastPart II. Earthquake Risk Chapter 5. Stochastic Processes Introduction Statistics Bayesian Statistics Independence Stationarity Homogeneity Chapter 6. Point Processes Definition The Poisson Process Markov Processes Renewal Processes Generalized Poisson Processes; Superposition Chapter 7. Modelling the Earthquake Process Introduction A Heuristic Model for the Earthquake Process The Klondike Model in Earthquake Theory The Kolmogorov Process Boltzmann Processes The Tagged Self-Exciting Process A Topological Model Chapter 8. Extreme-Value Methods Introduction Earthquake Maxima An Application to California The Maximum Magnitude in a Region Chapter 9. Earthquake Zoning Why Seismic Zoning? Soviet Concepts of Zoning Earthquake Zoning in the U.S.A Risk Mapping Approaches to Earthquake Prediction Chapter 10. Estimation Procedures for Earthquake Risk Introduction Approaches of Analysis Extreme-Value Methods Bayesian Methods Optimization Methods Composition Methods Zoning Methods Simulation Methods A Case History Project Description Geologic Situation Seismotectonic Setting Seismic History Estimation of Earthquake Risk "Pessimistic" Earthquake Risk "Poissonian" Risk Incorporation of Historical Data Summary of Risk Estimates Chapter 11. Strategies for Control of Earthquake Hazard Introduction Initial Strategies Alternative Strategies Prediction Versus Prevention? An Earthquake StrategyPart III. World Seismicity Chapter 12. The Data Seismographs Earthquake Data Processing Array Technology Chapter 13. Seismic Regions of the World Introduction Regional Distribution Seismicity Maps Chapter 14. Circum-Pacific Belt Introduction North America Central and Insular America South America South Pacific Ocean Western Pacific Ocean Chapter 15. East Asian Insular Belt and Eurasia Introduction East Asian Insular Belt Eurasian Domain Western Europe and North Africa Chapter 16. Southern Continental Shields Introduction Africa and Arabia Australia Antarctica Chapter 17. Oceanic Rises Introduction Mid-Atlantic and Arctic Ridge Indian Ocean East-Central Pacific Rise and Hawaiian IslandsAppendix 1. Earthquake Regulations (Section 2314) of the 1968 Los Angeles County Building Code Sec. 2314 - Earthquake RegulationsReferencesIndex