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How do economists reconcile their expertise with their failures to predict and manage the 2008 financial crisis? This book goes a long way toward an answer by using systems th… Read more
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Immediately download your ebook while waiting for your print delivery. No promo code needed.
How do economists reconcile their expertise with their failures to predict and manage the 2008 financial crisis? This book goes a long way toward an answer by using systems theory to reveal the complex interdependence of factors and forces behind the crisis. In her fully integrated view of the economy, how it works, and how the economic crisis burst, Karen Higgins combines human psychology, cultural values, and belief formation with descriptions of the ways banks and markets succeed and fail. In each chapter she introduces themes from financial crisis literature and brings a systems-theory treatment of them. Her methodology and visual presentations both develop the tools of systems theory and apply these tools to the financial crisis. Not just another volume about the crisis, this book challenges the status quo through its unique multidisciplinary approach.
Primary: upper-division undergraduates and graduate students worldwide studying the 2008 financial crisis and financial crises in general.
Secondary: people interested in financial risk management and operational research.
Preface
List of Figures and Tables
Figures
Tables
Biography
Dedication
Introduction: Systems Thinking and the Great Global Recession
Part I: Foundations
Chapter 1. Lines or Circles: The Basics of Systems Thinking
1.1 A Brief History of Systems Thinking
1.2 Application and Relevance of Systems Thinking
1.3 Linear Thinking and Systems Thinking
1.4 Complexity Economics and Systems Thinking
1.5 Systems Thinking Concepts
1.6 Loops
1.7 Lags: Time Delays
1.8 Limits to Growth
1.9 Levers: Points of Power
1.10 Visualization Tools
1.11 System Boundaries
1.12 Systems Thinking Philosophy
1.13 Summary
Chapter 2. As the Gears Turn: Policies, Practices, Markets, and Risk
2.1 Timeline
2.2 Federal Economic Policies
2.3 Home Mortgage Lending Practices
2.4 Markets and Human Behavior
2.5 Housing Market
2.6 Financial Market
2.7 Risk
2.8 Systems Interpretation
2.9 Summary
Part II: The Yin: Human Behaviors
Chapter 3. Where Can I Buy One? Humans and the Economy
3.1 History of Human Psychology in Economic Theory
3.2 The Role of Values and Beliefs in Economics
3.3 The Role of Expectations in Economics
3.4 The Role of Human Nature in Economics
3.5 Summary
Chapter 4. Who Are You Anyway? Values, Beliefs, Norms, and Behaviors
4.1 American Culture
4.2 Corporate Cultures
4.3 Systems Thinking Interpretation
4.4 Summary
Chapter 5. Visions of Grandeur: Expectations and Behaviors
5.1 Expectations and the Economic Environment
5.2 Systems Thinking Interpretation
5.3 Summary
Chapter 6. A Crisis of Human Proportions: Ethics and Behaviors
6.1 Mortgage Fraud
6.2 Disreputable Lending
6.3 Shady Corporate Strategy
6.4 Deceitful Dealings
6.5 Systems Thinking Interpretation
6.6 Summary
Chapter 7. Self Speaks Loudly and Carries a Big Stick: Sources of Unethical Behavior
7.1 Ethics and its Purpose
7.2 Ethical Issue: Self-Interest Versus Social Interest
7.3 Human Nature Traits of Self-Interest
7.4 Societal Needs
7.5 Economic Environment
7.6 Repositories of Moral Grounding
7.7 Concern about Consequences
7.8 Greed and Hubris
7.9 Short-Term Narrow-Focused Rewards
7.10 Historic Precedence
7.11 Systems Thinking Interpretation
7.12 Summary
Part III: The Yang: Economic Mechanisms
Chapter 8. What Goes Up Must Come Down: The Housing Bubble
8.1 Bubble History
8.2 The Rise and Fall of the Housing Bubble
8.3 Affordability and the Housing Bubble
8.4 Supply, Demand, and the Housing Bubble
8.5 Reasons for Supply and Demand Shifts
8.6 Supply and Demand Shift Synopsis
8.7 Systems Thinking Interpretation
8.8 Summary
Chapter 9. On Top of Debt Mountain: High-Risk Loans and Credit
9.1 Journey Segment One: Easy Availability of Credit
9.2 Journey Segment Two: High-Risk Loans
9.3 Journey Segment Three: Accumulation of Debt
9.4 Journey Segment Four: Defaults, Bankruptcies, and Foreclosures
9.5 Systems Thinking Interpretation
9.6 Summary
Chapter 10. The Risk Tiger Pounces: Financial Market, Risk, and Securitization
10.1 Securitization, Structuring, and Derivatives in the Financial Market
10.2 Systems Thinking Interpretation
10.3 Summary
Part IV: Yin and Yang: Integration
Chapter 11. Human Roots Are Deep: Yin Meets Yang
11.1 Expectations
11.2 Self-Interest and Social Interest
11.3 Material Desires
11.4 Greed
11.5 Economic Environment
11.6 Search for Meaning
11.7 Systems Thinking Interpretation
11.8 Summary
Chapter 12. It’s a Small World After All: Global Implications and the Road Ahead
12.1 Economic Truths about the Crisis
12.2 Summary of Crisis Dynamics
12.3 An Expanded Systems Perspective
12.4 Conclusions from the Expanded Systems View
12.5 Systems Thinking as a Tool
12.6 Effectiveness of Current Economic Policies
12.7 Yin and Yang Reprise
12.8 Implications for the Future
12.9 Concluding Remarks
Appendix
A.1 Relationship between Supply and Demand
A.2 Systems Thinking Interpretation
A.3 Summary
References
Glossary
Index
KH
Dr. Karen Higgins has a B.S. in Mathematics, M.S. in Electrical Engineering, and an MBA and PhD in Executive Management. She has extensive experience in executive leadership and in leading research and engineering teams. Throughout her 32-year career with the Naval Air Warfare Center, Weapons Division at China Lake and Pt. Mugu, California she held technical, functional, project and executive management positions for efforts that integrate state-of-the-art and commonly-used weapons systems onto some of the newest jet fighter aircraft. As a member of the Senior Executive Service, she was one of the most senior civilians within the U.S. Department of Defense. In her Executive Director and Director for Research and Engineering roles, she had responsibility for a $1B budget and over 5,000 employees. She has received the highest civilian awards for her services to the Navy and the Department of Defense.
As President of ÉLAN Leadership Concepts, Dr. Higgins serves as a leadership consultant for government and industry. She is an adjunct professor at Claremont Graduate University, where she teaches Project Management, Systems Thinking, and Morality & Leadership. She enjoys her grandchildren, practices yoga, does research, and writes. Her recent book, Financial Whirlpools (2013), analyzes the financial crisis of 2008-2009 using a systems perspective. Her second book, Economic Growth and Sustainability (in print, 2014), investigates the relationship among Economy, Environment and Society also using a systems perspective.
On a personal note, she enjoys ballroom dancing and "loves, loves, loves" the LA Clippers!
Affiliations: Claremont Graduate University, Claremont, CA, USA (Adjunct Professor) ÉLAN Leadership Concepts, Ridgecrest, CA, USA (President) Effective Edge, Austin TX, USA (Performance Catalyst)
Personal website: http://www.systems-sense.com
Expertise Executive leadership, project management, systems thinking, sustainability, ethics, interpersonal communication, culture shaping