Drought Dynamics

List of contributors

Section I Drought concept

1. Background and drought indices

   • Gokmen Tayfur

   • 1.1 Background

   • 1.2 Drought assessment methods

   • 1.3 Discussion and conclusions

   • References

2. Bibliometry and Review

   • Mustafa Utku Yilmaz and Hulya Yilmaz

   • 2.1 Introduction

   • 2.2 Results of bibliometric analysis

   • 2.3 Trending topics and emerging themes in drought-related research

   • 2.4 The most commonly used datasets in drought-related research

   • 2.5 The most commonly used methods and indices for drought prediction

   • 2.6 Conclusion

   • AI disclosure

   • References

3. An overview of drought indices

   • Ismail Dabanli, Furkan Sencer Kaçar, Abdullah Emin Demircioğlu, Cemre Erbil and Mehmet Şerif Kayaalp

   • 3.1 Introduction

   • 3.2 Characterization of drought

   • 3.3 Drought indices

   • 3.4 Conclusion

   • Acknowledgment

   • References

4. Application of General Circulation Models’ outputs in the analysis of extreme climatic events

   • Mustafa Nuri Balov, Farzad Rotbee and Maryam Khalilzadeh Poshtegal

   • 4.1 Introduction

   • 4.2 General Circulation Models—an overview

   • 4.3 Emission scenarios

   • 4.4 Downscaling

   • 4.5 Uncertainty issue

   • 4.6 Extreme climatic events

   • 4.7 Case study: Drought Assessment

   • 4.8 Conclusion

   • References

5. Drought in arid and semiarid regions

   • Gokmen Tayfur

   • 5.1 Learning and knowledge outcomes

   • 5.2 Introduction

   • 5.3 Methods

   • 5.4 Application

   • 5.5 Discussion

   • 5.6 Conclusions

   • References

6. Drought propagation from meteorological to agricultural to hydrological

   • Gokmen Tayfur

   • 6.1 Introduction

   • 6.2 Drought types

   • 6.3 Widely employed index for each drought

   • 6.4 Drought propagation

   • 6.5 Discussion and conclusions

   • References

7. Drought and architecture

   • Meysam Soleimani and Furkan Kavak

   • 7.1 Introduction

   • 7.2 The concept of climatic architecture

   • 7.3 Traditional architecture in the hot and arid climate

   • 7.4 Contemporary design inspired by traditional architecture

   • 7.5 Conclusion

   • References

8. The psychological toll of drought in a changing climate

   • Mahsa Vaheddoost

   • 8.1 Introduction

   • 8.2 Methodology

   • 8.3 Psychological effects of drought

   • 8.4 Drought and eco-anxiety

   • 8.5 The link between drought and eco-anxiety

   • 8.6 Drought coping mechanisms

   • 8.7 Conclusion

   • AI disclosure

   • References

Section II Drought management

1. Policy and governance in drought studies

   • Mustafa Utku Yilmaz and Hulya Yilmaz

   • 9.1 Introduction

   • 9.2 Developing a framework for effective drought governance

   • 9.3 The MICMAC method

   • 9.4 Identifying factors influencing drought governance

   • 9.5 Classification of factors using MICMAC

   • 9.6 Challenges and barriers to effective drought governance

   • 9.7 Conclusion and policy recommendations

   • AI disclosure

   • References

2. Water demand management and behavior change in agriculture

   • Pelin Atakan and Cihat Günden

   • 10.1 Introduction

   • 10.2 What farmers are expected to do

   • 10.3 How farmers are encouraged to do what they are expected to do

   • 10.4 Understanding why farmers do what they do

   • 10.5 Designing policies to promote behavior change in irrigation under water scarcity

   • 10.6 Conclusion

   • References

3. The state’s efforts for effective water storage management: case studies from Bursa District

   • Murat Can

   • 11.1 Introduction

   • 11.2 Applications and Practices

   • 11.3 Further Applications and Investments

   • 11.4 Sum Up

   • 11.5 Future Projections

   • References

Section III New trends in drought studies

1. Meteorological drought modeling using recurrent neural networks and LSTM

   • Ali Danandeh Mehr, Hiba Alkubaisi and Rifat Tur

   • 12.1 Introduction

   • 12.2 Methods

   • 12.3 Drought data gathering for central Iraq

   • 12.4 Selection of predictors and performance indices

   • 12.5 Results

   • 12.6 Conclusion

   • AI disclosure

   • References

2. Data assimilation technologies

   • Samira Sadat Soltani

   • 13.1 Introduction

   • 13.2 Emerging methods for drought monitoring

   • 13.3 Data assimilation in agricultural drought monitoring

   • 13.4 Remote sensing in drought monitoring

   • 13.5 Conclusions and future perspectives

   • References

Section IV Case studies

1. Models (linear, nonlinear, machine learning)

   • Babak Mohammadi

   • 14.1 Introduction

   • 14.2 Materials and methods

   • 14.3 Results and discussion

   • 14.4 Conclusions

   • AI disclosure

   • References

2. Climate and drought (variability, changes, future droughts)

   • Mohammad Jamali and Saeid Eslamian

   • 15.1 Introduction

   • 15.2 Climate variability

   • 15.3 Climate change

   • 15.4 Climate change models and scenarios

   • 15.5 Drought

   • 15.6 Future of drought and forecasting techniques

   • 15.7 Conclusion

   • References

3. Regional case study using SPI and Mann–Kendall test

   • Saeid Eslamian and Yaser Sabzevari

   • 16.1 Introduction

   • 16.2 Case study

   • 16.3 Results and discussion

   • 16.4 Conclusion

   • References

4. Spatiotemporal analysis of temperature rise impact on snow drought in Erzurum, Türkiye

   • Egemen Aras, Muhammet Savas, Babak Vaheddoost and Damla Yılmaz Çelik

   • 17.1 Introduction

   • 17.2 Materials and methods

   • 17.3 Drought indices

   • 17.4 Results

   • 17.5 Discussion

   • 17.6 Conclusions

   • Authorship contribution statement

   • Data availability

   • Declaration of competing interest

   • Acknowledgments

   • Statements and declarations

   • AI disclosure

   • References

5. CMIP6-based frequency analysis of extreme precipitation in Virginia, USA

   • Sura Dhiyaa Hussein and Mustafa Nuri Balov

   • 18.1 Introduction

   • 18.2 Study area and data collection

   • 18.3 Methodology

   • 18.4 Results and discussions

   • 18.5 Conclusion

   • References

6. Integrated modeling of climate drought and groundwater quality in Iran

   • Soroosh Sharifi and Saeed Azimi

   • 19.1 Introduction

   • 19.2 Background

   • 19.3 Materials and methods

   • 19.4 Results and discussion

   • 19.5 Conclusions

   • References

   • Further reading

7. Historical fluctuations of water storage in response to drought: Iran case study

   • Behnam Khorrami

   • 20.1 Introduction

   • 20.2 Study area

   • 20.3 Data preparation and analysis

   • 20.4 GRACE and GRACE-FO data

   • 20.5 Standardized precipitation index

   • 20.6 Wetness percentile index

   • 20.7 Reconstruction of missing GRACE data

   • 20.8 Seasonality assessment

   • 20.9 Trend analysis

   • 20.10 Results and discussion

   • 20.11 Seasonal dynamics of water storage

   • 20.12 Variations of standardized precipitation index

   • 20.13 Associations between water storage variations and drought indices

   • 20.14 Conclusion

   • References