An Efficient Energy Future

Part 1 Energy Problems and Polices for Europe and North America Summary and Conclusions 1 Energy Problems and Policies World Energy Outlook Energy Problems Energy Demand Recent Past 1965-1978 Oil Substitution Energy Policies Eastern European Policies Western European Policies The United States of America Policies Government Expectations 1978-2000 References 2 Two Possible Energy Futures Methodology Two Views of the Future Housing and the Service Sector Transport Industry References 3 Buildings: Housing and the Service Sector The Share of Buildings End-Uses of Energy in Buildings A Range of Future Energy Demand The Need for Housing and other Buildings Government Policies Energy Conservation Measures in Housing Energy Conservation Measures in Service Sector Buildings Future Energy Needs References 4 Transport The Share of Transport Energy for Freight and Passenger Travel Government Forecasts Freight Transport Passenger Transport Future Energy Needs References 5 Industry The Share of Industry Principal Uses of Energy Government Energy Forecasts Energy Consumption Per Capita Iron and Steel Total Industrial Output Future Energy Needs References 6 The Potential for Energy Conservation United States of America Western Europe EUR-9 Eastern Europe CMEA-6 Union of Soviet Socialist Republics Energy Saving and International Co-operationPart 2 Country Profiles and Supportive Data 7 Introduction Definitions Symbols and Abbreviations Used Rounding References 8 Western Europe EUR-9 Belgium Denmark Federal Republic of Germany France Ireland Italy Luxembourg Netherlands United Kingdom 9 Eastern Europe CMEA-6 Bulgaria Czechoslovakia German Democratic Republic Hungary Poland Romania 10 United States of America 11 Union of Soviet Socialist Republics 12 Western Europe EUR-9 Aggregates 13 Eastern Europe CMEA-6 Aggregates 14 Total Area AggregatesAppendix 1 The MEDEE Model of Energy Demand Energy Demand Sub-Models The Household/Service Sector Sub-model The Industrial Sub-model The Transportation Sub-model ScenariosAppendix 2 Energy ForecastsAppendix 3 Conversion Table for Common Energy Units