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The Global Forest Products Model

Structure, Estimation, and Applications

  • 1st Edition - February 24, 2003
  • Latest edition
  • Authors: Joseph Buongiorno, Shushuai Zhu, Dali Zhang, James Turner, David Tomberlin
  • Language: English

The Global Forest Products Model (GFPM) book provides a complete introduction to this widely applied computer model. The GFPM is a dynamic economic equilibrium model that is used t… Read more

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Description

The Global Forest Products Model (GFPM) book provides a complete introduction to this widely applied computer model. The GFPM is a dynamic economic equilibrium model that is used to predict production, consumption, trade, and prices of 14 major forest products in 180 interacting countries. The book thoroughly documents the methods, data, and computer software of the model, and demonstrates the model's usefulness in addressing international economic and environmental issues.

The Global Forest Products Model is written by an international multi-disciplinary team and is ideal for graduate students and professionals in forestry, natural resource economics, and related fields. It explains trends in world forest industries in the simplest terms by explaining the economic theory underlying the model. It describes six applications of the GFPM, three of which were commissioned by the Food Agriculture of the United Nations, the USDA Forest Service, and New Zealand Research.

The authors show how to apply the model to real issues such as the effects of the Asian economic crisis on the forest sector, the effects of eliminating tariffs on international trade and production, and the international effects of national environmental policies. They provide complete explanations on how to use the GFPM software, prepare the data, make the forecasts, and summarize the results with tables and graphs.

Key features

  • Comprehensive, and rigorous description of the world forestry sector
  • Written by an international multi-disciplinary team
  • Thorough description of data and methods
  • In-depth applications to modern economic and policy issues
  • Detailed documentation of the computer software
  • Suitable for students, researchers, and decision makers

Readership

Graduate students and faculty in forestry departments and in related industries, as well as economic and resource advisors

Table of contents

PART 1 INTRODUCTION

Ch 1 Background and Objectives

1.1 Issues addressed by the GFPM

1.2 Previous and related models

1.3 A brief history of the GFPM

1.4 Objectives and outline

Ch 2 Overview of the Global Forest Products

2.1 Introduction

2.2 Production

2.3 International trade

2.4 Forest product price trends

2.5 Economic and demographic prospects

2.6 Summary and conclusion


PART 2 GFPM MODEL CONSTRUCTION

Ch 3 GFPM Structure and Formulation

3.1 Overview of the GFPM

3.2 Spatial global equilibrium

3.3 Market dynamics

3.4 Linear approximation of demand and supply

3.5 Implementation of trade inertia constraints

3.6 Welfare analysis

Ch 4 Model Calibration and Validation

4.1 Introduction

4.2 Countries and Products

4.3 Base-year Data

4.4 Parameter Estimation

4.5 Model Validation


PART 3 GFPM APPLICATIONS

Ch 5 The Base Scenario

5.1 Introduction

5.2 Model data, parameters, and assumptions

5.3 Base scenario projection from 1997 to 2010

5.4 Summary and discussion

Ch 6 Effects of the Asian Economic Crisis

6.1 Introduction

6.2 GFPM application

6.3 Summary and conclusion

Ch 7 Effects of Tariff Liberalization

7.1 Introduction

7.2 The Uruguay round of GATT and the ATL proposal

7.3 Previous studies

7.4 GFPM simulations

7.5 Summary and conclusion

Ch. 8 Impact of United States Paper recycling Policies

8.1 Introduction

8.2 Wastepaper recycling in the United States

8.3 Previous studies

8.4 GFPM analysis

8.5 International effects

8.6 Summary and conclusion

Ch 9 Effects of Regional trade agreements on New Zealand

9.1 Introduction

9.2 Trade agreements

9.3 GFPM analysis

9.4 GFPM results

9.5 Summary and conclusion

Ch 10 Impacts of United States Timber Harvest Restrictions

10.1 Introduction

10.2 Previous studies

10.3 Objectives

10.4 Forest policies affecting timber harvest in the United States

10.5 Modified GFPM model

10.6 Effects of further U.S. harvest restrictions on the Pacific Rim forest sector

10.7 Sensitivity to trade regime

10.8 Summary and conclusion


PART 4 GFPM SOFTWARE

Ch 11 Using the GFPM Software

11.1 Introduction

11.2 Installation and configuration

11.3 GFPM base year input

11.4 Exogenous change data

11.5 Running GFPM

11.6 Examples of GFPM output

11.7 Welfare analysis with the GFPM

11.8 Trouble shooting GFPM errors

Ch 12 GFPM Software design and implementation

12.1 Introduction

12.2 Overview of GFPM software structure

12.3 Control programs and program execution

12.4 Data Preparation

12.5 Data processing and problem solving

12.6 Output retrieval

CH 13 Summary and Conclusion

13.1 Summary of Results

13.2 Evaluation and prospects

13.3 Conclusion

References

Review quotes

"...allows one to simulate how the forest sector operates in different countries and how the countries interact through international trade..."—JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC LITERATURE

Product details

  • Edition: 1
  • Latest edition
  • Published: April 24, 2003
  • Language: English

About the authors

JB

Joseph Buongiorno

Affiliations and expertise
University of Wisconsin, Madison, USA

SZ

Shushuai Zhu

Affiliations and expertise
Oracle Corporation, Nashua, New Hampshire, USA

DZ

Dali Zhang

Affiliations and expertise
JP Management Consulting (Asia-Pacific) Pte Ltd, Shangai, China

DT

David Tomberlin

Affiliations and expertise
National Marine Fisheries Service, Santa Cruz, California, USA

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