South Asian Summer Monsoon
Processes, Prediction, and Societal Impacts
- 1st Edition - February 1, 2025
- Authors: Madhavan Nair Rajeevan, Parthasarathi Mukhopadhyay, Arindam Chakraborty
- Language: English
- Paperback ISBN:9 7 8 - 0 - 4 4 3 - 2 3 9 4 5 - 8
- eBook ISBN:9 7 8 - 0 - 4 4 3 - 2 3 9 4 4 - 1
South Asian Summer Monsoon: Processes, Prediction, and Societal Impacts provides a stronger understanding of the monsoon environment and new information on the structure and dynam… Read more
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Request a sales quoteSouth Asian Summer Monsoon: Processes, Prediction, and Societal Impacts provides a stronger understanding of the monsoon environment and new information on the structure and dynamics of monsoon weather systems, onset and withdrawal processes, South Asian monsoon variability at all time scales, from Diurnal to multi-decadal, and human influence on the changing monsoon climate. Readers will also find updates on the present status and capability of short-to-medium range, extended-range, and seasonal monsoon prediction methods. Finally, the book's authors discuss the role of monsoon forecasts for sectoral applications in agriculture, water resources, drought and flood management, disaster management, public health, and energy.
- Provides an updated reference on South Asian monsoons, with a review of the latest research papers and information
- Presents discussions on the forecasting aspects of South Asian monsoons by describing synoptic systems, forecasting capabilities, and case studies
- Includes sectoral applications of monsoon forecasts, along with excellent examples
Meteorologists and atmospheric scientists, Monsoon forecasters, who are responsible for monsoon prediction, Post-graduate students and researchers, Professionals working in weather and climate services, Meteorological Forecasting Departments and Atmosphere, Ocean, and Earth Sciences Departments
1: Introduction and Global Perspective
1.1 Historical perspective and relevance
1.2 Global Monsoons
1.3 South Asian Monsoon - Global Setting
2: Mean Monsoon Circulation
2.1. Atmospheric and Oceanic Circulations
2.2. Monsoon Clouds and Radiation
2.3. Monthly and seasonal rainfall
2.4. Theories of Monsoon
2.5. Role of Oceans and Himalayas
2.6. Influence of other factors
2.7. Paleo-monsoon
3: Monsoon Onset and Withdrawal
3.1 Dynamics and synoptic setting of monsoon onset
3.2 Criteria for monsoon onset
3.3 Progress of onset and onset isochrones
4. Hiatus in monsoon progress
3.5 Synoptic Setting and the criteria for monsoon withdrawal
3.6 Prediction of monsoon onset dates
4: Semi-Permanent and Synoptic Systems
1. Mascarene High
2. Cross Equatorial Flow and Low-Level Jet stream
3. Monsoon Heat Low
4. Tibetan Anticyclone
5. Tropical Easterly Jet
6. Monsoon Trough
7. Monsoon Lows and Depressions
8. Mid-Tropospheric Cyclones
9. West coast Off-Shore trough
5: Monsoon Circulation and Rainfall variability
5.1 Diurnal Variability
5.2 Intra-seasonal Variability
5.3 Inter-annual Variability
5.4 Multi-decadal Variability
6: Impact of Climate Change on South Asian Monsoon
6.1 Observed changes in monsoon circulation
6.2 Observed changes in monsoon rainfall
3. Future Climate Change Scenarios
7: Skill of numerical weather prediction
7.1 Short to medium range monsoon forecasts
7.2 Extended-range monsoon forecasts
7.3. Case studies
7.4. Prospects of AI/ML techniques
8: Seasonal and Decadal Predictions
8.1 Historical Perspective
8.2 Statistical Model predictions
8.3 Dynamical Model Predictions
8.4 Prospects of Decadal Monsoon Predictions
8.5 Prospects of AI/ML techniques
9: Sectoral application of monsoon forecasts
9.1 Agriculture Sector
9.2 Water Resources Management
9.3 Droughts and Flood Management
9.4 Health Sector
9.5 Energy Sector
10: Summary and Future Prospects
10.1 Summary
10.2 Gap areas in Observations and Modelling
1.1 Historical perspective and relevance
1.2 Global Monsoons
1.3 South Asian Monsoon - Global Setting
2: Mean Monsoon Circulation
2.1. Atmospheric and Oceanic Circulations
2.2. Monsoon Clouds and Radiation
2.3. Monthly and seasonal rainfall
2.4. Theories of Monsoon
2.5. Role of Oceans and Himalayas
2.6. Influence of other factors
2.7. Paleo-monsoon
3: Monsoon Onset and Withdrawal
3.1 Dynamics and synoptic setting of monsoon onset
3.2 Criteria for monsoon onset
3.3 Progress of onset and onset isochrones
4. Hiatus in monsoon progress
3.5 Synoptic Setting and the criteria for monsoon withdrawal
3.6 Prediction of monsoon onset dates
4: Semi-Permanent and Synoptic Systems
1. Mascarene High
2. Cross Equatorial Flow and Low-Level Jet stream
3. Monsoon Heat Low
4. Tibetan Anticyclone
5. Tropical Easterly Jet
6. Monsoon Trough
7. Monsoon Lows and Depressions
8. Mid-Tropospheric Cyclones
9. West coast Off-Shore trough
5: Monsoon Circulation and Rainfall variability
5.1 Diurnal Variability
5.2 Intra-seasonal Variability
5.3 Inter-annual Variability
5.4 Multi-decadal Variability
6: Impact of Climate Change on South Asian Monsoon
6.1 Observed changes in monsoon circulation
6.2 Observed changes in monsoon rainfall
3. Future Climate Change Scenarios
7: Skill of numerical weather prediction
7.1 Short to medium range monsoon forecasts
7.2 Extended-range monsoon forecasts
7.3. Case studies
7.4. Prospects of AI/ML techniques
8: Seasonal and Decadal Predictions
8.1 Historical Perspective
8.2 Statistical Model predictions
8.3 Dynamical Model Predictions
8.4 Prospects of Decadal Monsoon Predictions
8.5 Prospects of AI/ML techniques
9: Sectoral application of monsoon forecasts
9.1 Agriculture Sector
9.2 Water Resources Management
9.3 Droughts and Flood Management
9.4 Health Sector
9.5 Energy Sector
10: Summary and Future Prospects
10.1 Summary
10.2 Gap areas in Observations and Modelling
- No. of pages: 300
- Language: English
- Edition: 1
- Published: February 1, 2025
- Imprint: Elsevier
- Paperback ISBN: 9780443239458
- eBook ISBN: 9780443239441
MR
Madhavan Nair Rajeevan
Madhavan Rajeevan is presently working as a Distinguished Scientist at the Ministry of Earth Sciences. He did his MSc in Physics from Madurai Kamaraj University and PhD in Physics from the University of Pune. He recently superannuated as Secretary to Government of India, Ministry of Earth Sciences, after serving 38 years in various institutions with operational and research experience in weather and climate services. He made significant research contributions on Indian Monsoon variability, Seasonal Prediction, Extreme weather events and convective weather systems. He has published more than 150 research papers with more than 13000 citations. Rajeevan is a Fellow of all three Science Academies of India, an academician of the International Academy of Astronautics, and a member in the Research Board of the World Meteorological Organization. He has edited two books published by Springer on Climate Change and Societal Benefits of Earth Sciences.
Affiliations and expertise
Ministry of Earth Sciences, National Centre for Earth Science Studies (NCESS), IndiaPM
Parthasarathi Mukhopadhyay
Dr. Mukhopadhyay did his PhD in Physics from Savitribai Phule Pune University in the year 2005 and has been working in the field of Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) since last twenty-eight years. He has particularly worked in developing high resolution numerical model and improved cumulus and cloud parameterization. He developed for the first time the superparameterized climate forecast model for improved Indian summer monsoon simulation. He has led the program to develop the highest resolution (12km) global ensemble prediction system for short to medium range weather forecast over India. He has published 81 peer reviewed papers in journals and edited one book published by Springer and published six chapters in edited books. He has guided 7 students for PhD and currently guiding 5 students for PhD. He has guided 14 students for the master’s thesis.
Affiliations and expertise
Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology (IITM), Pashan, Pune, IndiaAC
Arindam Chakraborty
Arindam Chakraborty is a Professor at the Indian Institute of Science (IISc), Bengaluru, India. He received his Master’s in Physics and Master of Engineering in Atmospheric Sciences before obtaining a PhD in Atmospheric Sciences in 2005. Later, he worked as a Postdoctoral Research Fellow at Florida State University for more than four years. He has worked collaboratively with several international and national institutes, including the NCAR in Boulder, Imperial College in London, IITM in Pune. He served as Associated Editor for the Journal of Earth System Sciences and Review Editor for the Frontiers in Climate. His research interests include tropical climate variability, especially the Indian summer monsoon. He has authored about seventy peer-reviewed publications covering various aspects of monsoons. His work on the theoretical aspects of the monsoon, its delayed global teleconnection, the spatial scale of the short-lived extreme precipitation events, and land-atmosphere interaction are notable, among others.
Affiliations and expertise
Centre for Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences (CAOS), Indian Institute of Science, India