South Asian Summer Monsoon
Processes, Prediction, and Societal Impacts
- 1st Edition - February 13, 2025
- Authors: Madhavan Nair Rajeevan, Parthasarathi Mukhopadhyay, Arindam Chakraborty
- Language: English
- Paperback ISBN:9 7 8 - 0 - 4 4 3 - 2 3 9 4 5 - 8
- eBook ISBN:9 7 8 - 0 - 4 4 3 - 2 3 9 4 4 - 1
South Asian Summer Monsoon: Processes, Prediction, and Societal Impacts provides a stronger understanding of the monsoon environment and new information on the structure and dynam… Read more
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Request a sales quoteSouth Asian Summer Monsoon: Processes, Prediction, and Societal Impacts provides a stronger understanding of the monsoon environment and new information on the structure and dynamics of monsoon weather systems, onset and withdrawal processes, South Asian monsoon variability at all time scales, from Diurnal to multi-decadal, and human influence on the changing monsoon climate. Readers will also find updates on the present status and capability of short-to-medium range, extended-range, and seasonal monsoon prediction methods. Finally, the book's authors discuss the role of monsoon forecasts for sectoral applications in agriculture, water resources, drought and flood management, disaster management, public health, and energy.
- Provides an updated reference on South Asian monsoons, with a review of the latest research papers and information
- Presents discussions on the forecasting aspects of South Asian monsoons by describing synoptic systems, forecasting capabilities, and case studies
- Includes sectoral applications of monsoon forecasts, along with excellent examples
Meteorologists and atmospheric scientists, Monsoon forecasters, who are responsible for monsoon prediction, Post-graduate students and researchers, Professionals working in weather and climate services, Meteorological Forecasting Departments and Atmosphere, Ocean, and Earth Sciences Departments
- Title of Book
- Cover image
- Title page
- Table of Contents
- Copyright
- Dedication
- About the authors
- Preface
- Acknowledgments
- Chapter one. Introduction
- Abstract
- 1.1 History of monsoons
- 1.2 Drivers of monsoons
- 1.3 Global monsoons
- 1.4 South Asian summer monsoon
- References
- Chapter two. Mean rainfall, theory, and role of oceans
- Abstract
- 2.1 Large-scale circulation features
- 2.2 Monsoon clouds and radiation
- 2.3 Monsoon monthly and seasonal rainfall
- 2.4 Theories of monsoon
- 2.5 Role of orography
- 2.6 Role of oceans
- 2.7 Influence of other factors
- 2.8 Principles of paleoclimate
- References
- Chapter THREE. Onset and withdrawal
- Abstract
- 3.1 Monsoon onset
- 3.2 Monsoon withdrawal
- 3.3 Monsoon onset and withdrawal over Bangladesh and Pakistan
- References
- Chapter four. Semipermanent and synoptic systems
- Abstract
- 4.1 Semipermanent systems
- 4.2 Synoptic systems
- References
- Chapter five. Circulation and rainfall variability
- Abstract
- 5.1 Diurnal variability
- 5.2 Intraseasonal variability
- 5.3 Interannual variability
- 5.4 Decadal variability
- References
- Further reading
- Chapter six. Climate change perspectives
- Abstract
- 6.1 Increase in surface air temperatures
- 6.2 Long-term trends of circulation
- 6.3 Observed trends of rainfall
- 6.4 Extreme precipitation events
- 6.5 Trends in monsoon rainstorms
- 6.6 Hydroclimatic intensity
- 6.7 Monsoon droughts
- 6.8 Impact of aerosols on south Asian summer monsoon
- 6.9 Future climate change projections
- References
- Chapter seven. Short–medium and extended-range forecasts
- Abstract
- 7.1 History of numerical weather prediction in India
- 7.2 Basics of numerical weather prediction
- 7.3 Skill of short- to medium-range forecasts over the Indian region
- 7.4 Skill of forecasts over Pakistan, Nepal, and Bangladesh
- 7.5 Case studies of short–medium range forecasts
- 7.6 Extended-range forecasts (up to 4 weeks)
- References
- Chapter eight. Seasonal and decadal predictions
- Abstract
- 8.1 Introduction
- 8.2 Basic premise of seasonal prediction
- 8.3 Potential predictability
- 8.4 History of long-range forecasting
- 8.5 Statistical ensemble prediction system for Indian summer monsoon rainfall
- 8.6 Dynamical seasonal prediction of Indian summer monsoon rainfall
- 8.7 ENSO–ISMR relationships in seasonal prediction models
- 8.8 Seasonal prediction efforts for Pakistan, Bangladesh, and Nepal
- 8.9 Decadal monsoon predictions
- References
- Chapter nine. Sectoral applications
- Abstract
- 9.1 Agriculture
- 9.2 Health sector
- 9.3 Renewable energy sector
- 9.4 Water management and flood warning systems
- References
- Chapter ten. Summary and future prospects
- Abstract
- 10.1 Summary
- 10.2 Gap areas and way forward
- 10.3 Prospects of artificial intelligence/machine learning methods
- References
- Appendix A. Forecast verification methods
- 1 Methods for dichotomous (yes/no) forecasts
- 2 Methods for forecasts of continuous variables
- Index
- No. of pages: 300
- Language: English
- Edition: 1
- Published: February 13, 2025
- Imprint: Elsevier
- Paperback ISBN: 9780443239458
- eBook ISBN: 9780443239441
MR
Madhavan Nair Rajeevan
Madhavan Rajeevan is presently working as a Distinguished Scientist at the Ministry of Earth Sciences. He did his MSc in Physics from Madurai Kamaraj University and PhD in Physics from the University of Pune. He recently superannuated as Secretary to Government of India, Ministry of Earth Sciences, after serving 38 years in various institutions with operational and research experience in weather and climate services. He made significant research contributions on Indian Monsoon variability, Seasonal Prediction, Extreme weather events and convective weather systems. He has published more than 150 research papers with more than 13000 citations. Rajeevan is a Fellow of all three Science Academies of India, an academician of the International Academy of Astronautics, and a member in the Research Board of the World Meteorological Organization. He has edited two books published by Springer on Climate Change and Societal Benefits of Earth Sciences.
Affiliations and expertise
Ministry of Earth Sciences, National Centre for Earth Science Studies (NCESS), IndiaPM
Parthasarathi Mukhopadhyay
Dr. Mukhopadhyay did his PhD in Physics from Savitribai Phule Pune University in the year 2005 and has been working in the field of Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) since last twenty-eight years. He has particularly worked in developing high resolution numerical model and improved cumulus and cloud parameterization. He developed for the first time the superparameterized climate forecast model for improved Indian summer monsoon simulation. He has led the program to develop the highest resolution (12km) global ensemble prediction system for short to medium range weather forecast over India. He has published 81 peer reviewed papers in journals and edited one book published by Springer and published six chapters in edited books. He has guided 7 students for PhD and currently guiding 5 students for PhD. He has guided 14 students for the master’s thesis.
Affiliations and expertise
Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology (IITM), Pashan, Pune, IndiaAC
Arindam Chakraborty
Arindam Chakraborty is a Professor at the Indian Institute of Science (IISc), Bengaluru, India. He received his Master’s in Physics and Master of Engineering in Atmospheric Sciences before obtaining a PhD in Atmospheric Sciences in 2005. Later, he worked as a Postdoctoral Research Fellow at Florida State University for more than four years. He has worked collaboratively with several international and national institutes, including the NCAR in Boulder, Imperial College in London, IITM in Pune. He served as Associated Editor for the Journal of Earth System Sciences and Review Editor for the Frontiers in Climate. His research interests include tropical climate variability, especially the Indian summer monsoon. He has authored about seventy peer-reviewed publications covering various aspects of monsoons. His work on the theoretical aspects of the monsoon, its delayed global teleconnection, the spatial scale of the short-lived extreme precipitation events, and land-atmosphere interaction are notable, among others.
Affiliations and expertise
Centre for Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences (CAOS), Indian Institute of Science, IndiaRead South Asian Summer Monsoon on ScienceDirect